By Alan Caruba
The lull
in the coverage of all things Islamic was broken by two terrorist attacks in
Canada, a reminder that so long as the world does not unite to destroy the
Islamic State, we shall all remain vulnerable. A “lone wolf” terrorist can kill
you just as dead as one in a terrorist organization, particularly one
encouraging these attacks.
While
the media’s herd mentality continues to report about Ebola in West Africa and
gears up for massive coverage of the forthcoming November 4 midterm elections,
the Middle East remains in a low state of boil, never failing to produce
bombings, skirmishes, and the usual inhumanities we associate with
Islam.
Americans pay attention to the Middle
East only when blood is flowing and at the present time the only element
generating that is the Islamic State (ISIS) which continues to attack Kobani in
northern Syria and assault the Yazidis and other targets in Iraq. The U.S.,
Britain and France are bombing ISIS forces, largely to protect and assist the
Kurdish Peshmerga forces, the only fighting force of any
consequence.
Virtually unreported are the 18
million Muslim refugees throughout out the Middle East. The U.N. reports that
these and internally displaced persons reflect the turmoil in Afghanistan, Iraq.
Libya, Pakistan, Somalia, Syria, and Yemen. To grasp this, think about what
either the U.S. or Europe would be like with a comparable number of refugees.
As David
P. Goldman, a Senior Fellow at the London Center for Policy Research and Wax
Family Writing Fellow at the Middle East Forum, noted October 20 on the Forum
website, “That is cause for desperation: unprecedented numbers of people have
been torn from traditional society and driven from their homes, many with little
but the clothes on their backs.”
“There
are millions of young men in the Muslim world sitting in refugee camps with
nothing to do, nowhere to go back to, and nothing to look forward to…never has
an extremist movement had so many frustrated and footloose young men in its
prospective recruitment pool.”
So what
does John Kerry, our Secretary of State, think is the greatest problem in the
Middle East? While discussing the ISIS coalition with Middle East leaders, Kerry
expressed the opinion a week ago that the Israeli-Palestine situation was the
real problem. Apparently he is unaware that there is no Palestinian state and
never has been. The one on the West Bank exists thanks to Israeli support and
the one in Gaza, controlled by Hamas, provoked Israeli defense measures by
rocketing it for months.
Prof.
Efraim Inbar, director of the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies and a
Shillman/Ginsberg fellow at the Middle East
Forum, has a quite different point of view. “In reality, however, the
novelty of the Islamic State, as well as the magnitude of the threat it poses,
are greatly exaggerated.”
Noting
that many of the Arab states have “failed to modernize and deliver basic
services” Prof. Inbar has little anticipation that ISIS could do that either.
Moreover “Much of the fragmented Arab world will be busy dealing with its
domestic problems for decades, minimizing the possibility that it will turn into
a formidable enemy for Israel or the West.”
What has
seemed to escape Kerry’s and the President’s attention is the threat of a
nuclear armed Iran. The negotiations to encourage Iran to step back from its
efforts to create the warheads for its missiles do not appear to promise a
favorable outcome. Iran managed to get some sanctions lifted and that was likely
why Iran entered into them. They don’t care what the West or the rest of the
Middle East wants.
Neither
Israel, nor Saudi Arabia are as naïve as the U.S. In March, Richard Silverstein,
writing in Tikun Olam, reported that “the level of intense cooperation between
Israel and Saudi Arabia in targeting Iran has become clear. Saudi Arabia isn’t
just coordinating its own intelligence efforts with Israel. It’s actually
financing a good deal of Israel’s very expensive campaign against Iran.” A
recent explosion at an Iranian nuclear facility suggests that the campaign is
still quite active.
Noting
“airtight military censorship in Israel”, Silverstein pointed out that
information about the Israeli-Saudi relationship would not have been reported in
an Israeli daily newspaper, Maariv, if both governments did not want Iran and
the U.S. to know. In effect, the Saudis have replaced the U.S. as a source of
support given President Obama’s barely concealed dislike of
Israel.
“But
Israel,” wrote Silverstein, “isn’t going to war tomorrow.” Israel will watch the
outcome of the U.S.-Iran negotiations and determine what action to take or not
at that point. Meanwhile, it will keep the pressure on Iran with its covert
program.
At some
point the news media will begin to pay more attention to the Middle East. It
will not get much cooperation, however, from ISIS because the Islamic State has
made it clear that only journalists that obey its rules and write what it wants
will live very long.
The
“religion of peace”, Islam, has not produced much peace in the Middle East and
elsewhere in the world for the last 1,400 years.
© Alan
Caruba, 2014
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