By Alan
Caruba
Let’s look at just some of the latest
news about the U.S. economy:
# According to the Treasury
Department’s Bureau of Fiscal Services, the federal government paid
$2,007,358,200,000—over $2 trillion—in benefits and entitlements in the 2013
fiscal year, October 1, 2012 to September 30, 2013. Most of the benefits, 69.7%
came from non-means tested government programs that provide them to recipients
who qualify regardless of income. That would include Medicare, Social Security,
unemployment compensation, veteran’s compensation, and railroad retirement, to
name a few.
# The total federal government
spending in 2013 totaled $3,454,253,000,000—over $3.4 trillion—encompassing
defense, highway and transportation costs, public education, immigration
services, and government worker salaries, to name a
few.
# An astonishing amount of that
spending constitutes wasted taxpayer money. In July the Government
Accountability Office (CAO) testified before Congress that federal agencies made
more than $100 billion in improper payments in 2013. That is an amount
comparable to the combined total budgets of the Coast Guard, U.S. Immigration
and Customs Enforcement agency, Border Patrol, Secret Service, and the Federal
Emergency Agency, et cetera. Improper payments result when people collect money
from government programs for which they are ineligible.
# By August, the total U.S. federal
debt had increased to more than $7 trillion during the five and a half years
since Barack Obama has been President. That is more than the debt increased
under all U.S. Presidents from George Washington through Bill Clinton—combined!
More debt than was accumulated in the first 227 years from 1776 through 2003.
# During the time President Obama has
been in office the number of unemployed reached 37.2%, a 36-year high for those
16 or older who do not have a job and are not actively seeking one. From
December 2013 through May of this year, the labor participation rate had been at
62.8%. The last time the labor participation rate was that low was February 1978
when Jimmy Carter was President.
# As the nation sank deeper into debt
by the end of 2012 there were 109,631,000 Americans living in households that
were receiving one or more federally funded “means-tested programs”, more
generally referred to as welfare. Combined with those receiving non-means-tested
benefits and it added up to 49.5% of the population.
It is always tempting to blame
everything on the President and, despite the usual rebound from a recession that
has occurred in the past, it has not occurred during his first term, nor into
his second at this point. In fact, the latest data reveals that the U.S. economy
shrank at a 2.9% annual rate during the first quarter of 2014. Its long-run
average rate of growth has been 3.3%, but the highest since Obama took office
was 2.8%.
According to the World Bank, in 2013
the U.S. Gross Domestic Product, the value of its goods and services, was $16,800,000,000,000. The federal, state and governments took their
share via taxation on income and/or property. The rest was saved or spent by
those either holding a job or receiving government benefits; very nearly half of
the population old enough to be employed if there were jobs for
them.
The problem that affects all of us is
the imbalance of the U.S. budget where more money is going out than coming in.
The difference is deemed the “deficit.” In order to pay bills, Congress has to
agree to raise the limit on how much the nation can borrow.
Nick Dranias, the constitutional
policy director for the Goldwater Institute, has come up with a proposal, “The
Compact for a Balanced Budget”, and it was been published by The Heartland
Institute, a free market think tank, in July.
As Dranias points out, “The U.S. gross
federal debt is approaching $18 trillion. That figure is more than twice what
was owed ($8.6 trillion) in 2006, when Barack Obama was a junior U.S. Senator
from Illinois and opposed lifting the federal debt limit.” It represents more
than $150,000 per taxpayer.
“What if states could advance and
ratify a powerful federal balanced budget amendment in only twelve months, asks
Dranias. His proposal is “a new approach to state-originated amendments under
Article V of the U.S. Constitution.
Two states, Georgia and Alaska, are
expected to establish a Balanced Budget Commission, an interstate agency
dedicated to organizing a convention—before 2014 ends—to propose an amendment to
achieve a balanced budget. The amendment would put “an initially fixed limit on
the amount of federal debt.” It would ensure Washington cannot spend more than
tax revenue brought in at any point in time, with the sole exception of
borrowing under the fixed debt limit. It would force Washington to reduce
spending long before borrowing reaches its debt limit, preventing any default on
obligations; something threatening many other nations as
well.
Suffice to say, the proposed amendment
involves some complex elements and, if the Compact does not receive sufficient
support from many more states than just the two that have signed on, it won’t
see the light of day.
What the rest of us understand,
however, is that federal spending is out of control at the same time as the
amount of money it takes in is more than what it “redistributes.” Add in a sluggish economy, not growing at its
usual rate, and you have a recipe for a lot of trouble
ahead.
Republicans are usually credited with
being more financially prudent. If true, we need to elect a Congress controlled
by the GOP in November and a Republican President in 2016. If we don’t, all bets
are off.
© Alan Caruba, 2014
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