By Alan
Caruba
It has
taken four years of Obama’s first term, but Europe in particular and every other
nation in general understands it is being told “You’re on your own.” The once
great superpower that other nations looked to for defense and support is
increasingly an island surrounded by two great oceans.
In a
recent article in The
Telegraph, a London newspaper, Janet Daley summed it up in the wake of the
events in Algeria and Mali, two African nations under attack by al Qaeda. “The
money which once went into missile silos in Europe—or troops patrolling the
Afghan border, or defending existing regimes in countries under threat from
jihadi militants—will be spent on Obamacare and the entitlements programs which
are close to bankruptcy.”
Pointedly, Daley noted that “During
the presidential election campaign, the mainstream media expressed almost no
interest at all in the fact that an American ambassador had been killed at his
post (for the first time since 1979) by a terrorist mob in
Libya.”
By
contrast, the Algerian government responded to the attack on a gas processing
plant in Amenas with extreme force, killing most of the al Qaeda terrorists
involved. In the process, most of the remaining hostages were killed by the
jihadists, but kidnapping and ransoming hostages has been a lucrative industry
for years now and goes back decades since the emergence of al Qaeda.
The
Algerians also responded in force because Amenas is just thirty miles west of
the Libyan border and because Algeria is Africa’s largest gas producer and major
supplier to Europe. They were aided by the French in contrast to the limited
role that America has exercised since the beginning of the “Arab spring” in
Egypt, Libya, and now Mali.
As the
U.S. draws down its involvement in Afghanistan, the rest of the world, but
Europe in particular, has concluded that the U.S. will be a very limited power
in the coming decades in which a war of attrition must be waged against al
Qaeda. Begun in response to the USSR’s invasion of Afghanistan, al Qaeda has now
spread into many other nations and, at present, is the focus of attention in the
Maghreb, the northern tier of nations in Africa.
In
2005, Martin Meredith’s book, “The Fate of Africa: From the Hopes of Freedom to
the Heart of Despair” chronicled fifty years of independence that former
European colonies achieved in the wake of World War II. At the time, Meredith
concluded “But even given greater Western efforts, the sum of Africa’s
misfortunes—its wars, its despotism, its corruption, its droughts, its everyday
violence—presents a crisis of such magnitude that it goes beyond the reach of
foreseeable solutions. At the core of the crisis is the failure of African
leaders to provide effective government.”
The
overthrow of despots ruling Tunisia, Libya and Egypt was the root cause of the
uprisings in those nations, but also playing a significant role was the Muslim
Brotherhood and al Qaeda, both of which are dedicated to imposing an Islamic
caliphate on the world.
Meredith warned that “Even when
regimes have changed hands, new governments, whatever promises they made on
arrival, have lost little time in adopting the habits of their
predecessors.”
Daley
was unsparingly accurate in her analysis of the present and growing crisis, in
part a response to its withdrawal from the battlefield. “But what does mean?”,
she asked rhetorically. That this White House will become actively, militarily
engaged in the hunt for the fragments of al Qaeda which continue to wreak havoc?
American politicians of all parties now seem more interested in the next chapter
of the fiscal cliff saga than they are in their country’s role in the world,
which is just an expensive and exasperating
distraction.”
“And
this president, as has been widely noted, seems particularly uninterested in
Europe…So there it is; a world made safe for U.S. trade and economic recovery,
paid for by the peoples who have relied for too long on American military
force.”
That
military force is on the brink of mandated budget cuts—the sequestration—that
will reduce it to a level of unpreparedness for the next major or minor conflict
anywhere in the world within a year or so. Designed and equipped for traditional
warfare, it is now in the era of guerilla warfare waged by small bands of
terrorists intent on destabilizing vulnerable governments in the Middle East and
Africa.
The
President has been telling us—ever since the killing of Osama bin Laden in
2011—that al Qaeda is in decline, but the facts reveal otherwise. In a lengthy
“overview” published on January 20th in The
New York Times, the article cited the many elements of al Qaeda in the
Maghreb and the growing Islamic terrorism in nations like Nigeria. Aside from
the occasional drone strike on al Qaeda leaders, we are not only not seeing much
progress led by the U.S., but are perceived by European and other nations as
withdrawing from the global battlefield.
© Alan
Caruba, 2013
1 comment:
And what will China do when its commercial interests in the unstable places that Europe once colonised become targets for Al Qaeda? The Chinese are infidels too.
Arguably the great winners from Pax Americana are in Cathay.
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