By Alan
Caruba
I doubt that President Obama will
compromise with the House Republicans on anything that might be done to avoid
the January 2nd “fiscal
cliff” that kicks in with higher taxes for everyone.
Obama has made it clear that
increasing the tax rates on “millionaires” is his goal and he made that clear
throughout the campaign. The income that would be generated from the increased
rates would generate enough money to run the nation for about a week or so at
most. In politics perception often trumps reality. And those “millionaires” are
mostly middle class folks earning $250,000 or more.
As Chris Cox and Bill Archer, two
veterans of the House, chairman of key committees, now in the private sector,
wrote in a November
26 Wall Street Journal commentary, “The actual liabilities of the federal
government—including Social Security, Medicare, and federal employees’ future
retirement benefits—already exceed $86 trillion, or 550% of GDP” (Gross Domestic
Product, i.e., the total the U.S. earns from the sale of all goods and services
annually).
We are so far passed the fiscal cliff
that the U.S. is unlikely to be able to borrow its way out of this huge debt.
Cox and Archer said that “Borrowing on this scale could collapse the capacity of
global capital markets—and bankrupt not only the programs themselves but the
entire federal government.”
“When the accrued expenses of the
government’s entitlement programs are counted, it becomes clear that to collect
enough tax revenue just to avoid going deeper in debt would require $8 trillion
in tax collections annually.”
By adding $6 trillion in debt during
his first term, it seems to me that Obama’s goal has been to bring the nation to
financial ruin. He added more debt that all the combined presidents before him.
He squandered billions on bailouts of General Motors and Chrysler, loans to
“green” companies, and increases in programs like food stamps. He cut off new
sources of income from the energy sector and, with them, the prospect of jobs
that would be generated. At one point he advocated developing algae—pond scum—as
a new source of energy.
The total amount of earnings from
individuals and corporations is not sufficient to cover the debt and operating
expenses of a federal government that has been steadily expanding since early in
the last century. Cox and Archer noted that “all individuals filing tax returns
in America and earning more than $66,193 per year have an adjusted gross income
of $5.1 trillion. In 2006, when corporate taxable income peaked before the
recession, all corporations in the U.S. had a total income for tax purposes of
$1.6 trillion.”
That’s a total of $6.7 trillion
available and we have more than $8 trillion per year in liabilities. The U.S. is
borrowing $4 million a day to pay the interest owed on its debt and other
liabilities.
The tax system of the U.S. was
created in 1913 with the introduction of the income tax and hasn’t seriously
been updated since 1986, just over a quarter century ago. As Mitt Romney told a
fund-raiser during the campaign, 47% of Americans pay no income tax at all. He
caught a lot of flack for telling the truth.
On Election Day, responding to exit
polls, 63% of Americans said they were opposed to increasing taxes. Two years
earlier when the midterm elections returned power to the Republicans in the
House where the Constitution mandates that all spending bills must originate, a
compromise resulted in the extension of the Bush tax cuts for two years. Even
Obama said it would be a mistake to raise taxes during a bad economy. He doesn’t
have to compromise now and he won’t.
I have no doubt that Obama will blame
whatever occurs regarding the “fiscal cliff” on the Republicans, but a January
2011 article by Paul Bedard in US
News and WorldReport spelled out a plan by the House GOP to eliminate
$2.5 trillion in spending over the next ten years. It’s not that
Republicans haven’t a plan. It’s that Obama’s plan is to raise everyone’s taxes
and keep on spending.
As Grover Norquist, president of
Americans for Tax Reform and an opponent of all tax increases, wrote in
mid-November, “Obama’s present demand is that the top two marginal tax rates be
increased to 39.6% plus the 3.8% Obamacare tax surcharge for a top rate of
43.4%. The death tax would also jump back to 55%, capital gains tax would jump
from 15% to 23.8%, and the tax on dividends would increase from 15% to 39.6%”,
more than double its present rate.
“If Obama follows through on his
threat,” wrote Norquist, “and refuses to extend the Bush tax cuts, then there
would be an automatic $500 billion tax increase beginning on January 1, 2013,
that would total $5 trillion over a decade.”
In plain words, Americans who still
have jobs, who have invested in the stock market, and who have any savings, will
be impoverished within a decade, if not sooner. The middle class is already
paying 50% of what they earn in income taxes, payroll taxes, state taxes,
property taxes, and taxes on gas, telephone use, and other
levies.
Obama has not talked of cutting
government spending, relying on the automatic “sequestration” that would begin
in January. His Secretary of Defense, Leon Panetta, called the effect on the
U.S. military “catastrophic” though the cuts would reduce what Norquist calls
“the Obama debt machine” and would in theory strengthen the
economy.
I say “in theory”, but federal
regulations in 2011 added more than $231 billion in regulatory costs to private
businesses and state and local governments, adding up to 133 million hours of
paperwork, according to the American Action Forum. Tons more regulations are in
the pipeline, particularly from the Environmental Protection Agency.
When you add in the 28 taxes hidden in Obamacare, it is clear that there will be precious little money left over for anything than the bare necessities of life.
When you add in the 28 taxes hidden in Obamacare, it is clear that there will be precious little money left over for anything than the bare necessities of life.
Americans have been ill-served by
their government, composed of those elected to exercise good judgment regarding
the economy. It has been going on for a very long time and now the bill is
coming due.
America is living in the greatest
debt bubble the world has ever seen. I suspect most are completely unaware of
it.
America went over the fiscal cliff
decades ago and now is in free-fall. Life here and around the world is going to
get very ugly.
© Alan Caruba, 2012
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